SportsProof
Quentin Johnston

Quentin Johnston

WRLACLos Angeles Chargers

Other WRs on LAC
Games
6
2026 season
PPR PPG
5.4
WR96 overall
Total pts
32.5

This is how WRs have played against the Raiders in the 2026 season.

WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Raiders in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

WkTeamPlayerTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1MIAMIAMalik Washington835306.3
Average8.03.053.00.06.3
Median8.03.053.00.06.3
High835306.3
Low835306.3

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

WR2 avg pts
6.3
PPR per game
Rank
21
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
-23%
lg avg 8.2
How Quentin Johnston should do vs the RaidersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Raiders, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Quentin Johnston has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Raiders opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Quentin Johnston will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Raiders avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Quentin Johnston's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Quentin Johnston usually produces.

Projected is Quentin Johnston's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Raiders were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1ARI621703.7
2LV51702.4
3BUF634007.0
4SEA214405.0
6KC315706.7
8LA443707.7
Johnston avg4.32.033.70.05.4
Raiders WR2 avg8.03.053.00.06.3
Difference+3.7+1.0+19.3+0.0+0.9

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Johnston averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Prediction & chance to scoreQuentin Johnston vs the Raiders

Prediction for Quentin Johnston

Nobody knows which slot Quentin Johnston will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Raiders.

If Quentin Johnston plays as
9.4
projected PPR points

I predict about 9.4 points for Quentin Johnston if playing as a WR2. Quentin Johnston has averaged 3.7 over 1 game, and the Raiders have given up 6.3 to WR2s (-23% vs the league average of 8.2).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Quentin Johnston scored: Wk 1 3.7. Average 3.7; weighted toward recent games it is 10.0.

2. The defense. Over 1 game, the Raiders allowed 6.3 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.2, so that is -23%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 1 defensive game, only 25% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -6% adjustment (x0.94).

4. Result. 10.0 x 0.94 = 9.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Quentin Johnston is to reach it as a WR2.

45%
chance of 9+ PPR points
Why this percentage?

The projection (9.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.7 points, leaning on Quentin Johnston's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 9.

With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • WR2s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 53.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Raiders across 1 game.
  • The Raiders allow 6.3 PPR points to WR2s, -23% versus the league average of 8.2 (ranked 21 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
  • WR2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 1 games (0%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.