Parker Washington
WR
Jacksonville Jaguars
This is how WRs have played against the Colts in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Colts in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  BAL | Chris Moore | 2 | 1 | 53 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2 |  KC | Tyquan Thornton | 4 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 12.6 |
| 3 |  HOU | Jaylin Noel | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 4.5 |
| 4 |  WAS | Dyami Brown | 4 | 3 | 65 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 5 |  PIT | DK Metcalf | 4 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 6 |  TEN | Wan'Dale Robinson | 7 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 5.2 |
| 7 |  MIN | Jauan Jennings | 3 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Average | 3.7 | 2.6 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 7.0 | ||
| Median | 4.0 | 3.0 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 5.4 | ||
| High | 7 | 4 | 86 | 0 | 12.6 | ||
| Low | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 4.5 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Parker Washington should do vs the ColtsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Colts, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Parker Washington has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Colts opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Parker Washington will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Colts avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Parker Washington's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Parker Washington usually produces.
Projected is Parker Washington's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Colts were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 6 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 19.3 |
| 2 | DEN | 12 | 7 | 98 | 0 | 16.8 |
| 3 | NE | 5 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 4 | CIN | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 5 | PHI | 9 | 6 | 124 | 2 | 30.4 |
| 6 | HOU | 11 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 8 | IND | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Washington avg | 6.9 | 3.9 | 61.7 | 0.6 | 13.6 | |
| Colts WR2 avg | 3.7 | 2.6 | 41.3 | 0.0 | 7.0 | |
| Difference | -3.1 | -1.3 | -20.4 | -0.6 | -6.7 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Washington averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreParker Washington vs the Colts
Prediction for Parker Washington
Nobody knows which slot Parker Washington will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Colts.
I predict about 12.4 points for Parker Washington if playing as a WR2. Parker Washington has averaged 15.3 over 6 games, and the Colts have given up 7.0 to WR2s (-20% vs the league average of 8.7).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Parker Washington scored: Wk 1 19.3, Wk 2 16.8, Wk 3 13.0, Wk 4 2.0, Wk 5 30.4, Wk 6 10.4. Average 15.3; weighted toward recent games it is 14.4.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Colts allowed 7.0 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.7, so that is -20%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -14% adjustment (x0.86).
4. Result. 14.4 x 0.86 = 12.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Parker Washington is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (12.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 9.5 points, leaning on Parker Washington's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 12.
With only 6 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 2.6 receptions, 41.3 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Colts across 7 games.
- The Colts allow 7.0 PPR points to WR2s, -20% versus the league average of 8.7 (ranked 28 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 2, Tyquan Thornton (12.6 pts, 86 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 7.0 vs 6.0; yds 41.3 vs 33.8. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 1 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 4.5 to 12.6 (median 5.4).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 7 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.