Parker Washington
WR
Jacksonville Jaguars
This is how WRs have played against the Commanders in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Commanders in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PHI | DeVonta Smith | 6 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 8.3 |
| 2 |  DAL | George Pickens | 8 | 6 | 40 | 0 | 10.0 |
| 3 |  SEA | Cooper Kupp | 5 | 4 | 46 | 1 | 14.6 |
| 4 |  IND | Ashton Dulin | 6 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 5.9 |
| 5 |  NYG | Malachi Fields | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 4.0 |
| 6 |  SF | Jordan Watkins | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 3.2 |
| 8 | PHI | Darius Cooper | 6 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 3.9 |
| Average | 4.9 | 3.0 | 32.7 | 0.1 | 7.1 | ||
| Median | 6.0 | 3.0 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 5.9 | ||
| High | 8 | 6 | 53 | 1 | 14.6 | ||
| Low | 1 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 3.2 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Parker Washington should do vs the CommandersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Commanders, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Parker Washington has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Commanders opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Parker Washington will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Commanders avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Parker Washington's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Parker Washington usually produces.
Projected is Parker Washington's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Commanders were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 6 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 19.3 |
| 2 | DEN | 12 | 7 | 98 | 0 | 16.8 |
| 3 | NE | 5 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 4 | CIN | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2.0 |
| 5 | PHI | 9 | 6 | 124 | 2 | 30.4 |
| 6 | HOU | 11 | 4 | 64 | 0 | 10.4 |
| 8 | IND | 2 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Washington avg | 6.9 | 3.9 | 61.7 | 0.6 | 13.6 | |
| Commanders WR2 avg | 4.9 | 3.0 | 32.7 | 0.1 | 7.1 | |
| Difference | -2.0 | -0.9 | -29.0 | -0.4 | -6.5 | |
| Projected as WR2 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 53.7 | 0.5 | 10.6 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Washington averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Parker WashingtonGood confidence · 10.6 proj pts5/10 start
- Parker Washington averages 13.6 PPR points over 7 games (recent-weighted 12.2) and has played as the team's WR2.
- The Commanders have allowed 7.1 points to WR2s over 7 games (-19% vs league). The model applies 70% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -13% adjustment.
- Last season's average (12.3) is blended in at 22% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 10.6 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreParker Washington vs the Commanders
Prediction for Parker Washington
Nobody knows which slot Parker Washington will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Commanders.
I predict about 10.6 points for Parker Washington if playing as a WR2. Parker Washington has averaged 13.6 over 7 games, and the Commanders have given up 7.1 to WR2s (-19% vs the league average of 8.8).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Parker Washington scored: Wk 1 19.3, Wk 2 16.8, Wk 3 13.0, Wk 4 2.0, Wk 5 30.4, Wk 6 10.4, Wk 8 3.6. Average 13.6; weighted toward recent games it is 12.2.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Commanders allowed 7.1 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.8, so that is -19%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -13% adjustment (x0.87).
4. Result. 12.2 x 0.87 = 10.6. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Parker Washington is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (10.6) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 9.7 points, leaning on Parker Washington's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 11.
With only 7 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 32.7 receiving yards and 0.1 receiving TDs against the Commanders across 7 games.
- The Commanders allow 7.1 PPR points to WR2s, -19% versus the league average of 8.8 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 3, Cooper Kupp (14.6 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 7.1 vs 5.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, George Pickens (6 rec) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rec 3.0 vs 2.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.2 to 14.6 (median 5.9).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 1 of 7 games (14%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.