Rashee Rice
WR
Kansas City Chiefs
This is how WRs have played against the Chargers in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Chargers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ARI | Michael Wilson | 7 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 2 |  LV | Cody White | 2 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 16.4 |
| 3 |  BUF | Keon Coleman | 2 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 4.7 |
| 4 |  SEA | Rashid Shaheed | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 12.3 |
| 5 |  DEN | Jaylen Waddle | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 4.8 |
| Average | 3.8 | 2.2 | 31.2 | 0.4 | 9.8 | ||
| Median | 3.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 10.6 | ||
| High | 7 | 5 | 56 | 2 | 16.4 | ||
| Low | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 4.7 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Rashee Rice should do vs the ChargersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Chargers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Rashee Rice has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Chargers opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Rashee Rice will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Chargers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Rashee Rice's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Rashee Rice usually produces.
Projected is Rashee Rice's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Chargers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2 | IND | 6 | 4 | 83 | 0 | 12.3 |
| 3 | MIA | 9 | 7 | 88 | 0 | 15.8 |
| 8 | DEN | 8 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 18.3 |
| Rice avg | 6.3 | 5.0 | 60.8 | 0.5 | 14.1 | |
| Chargers WR2 avg | 3.8 | 2.2 | 31.2 | 0.4 | 9.8 | |
| Difference | -2.5 | -2.8 | -29.6 | -0.1 | -4.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Rice averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreRashee Rice vs the Chargers
Prediction for Rashee Rice
Nobody knows which slot Rashee Rice will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Chargers.
I predict about 16.3 points for Rashee Rice if playing as a WR2. Rashee Rice has averaged 12.7 over 3 games, and the Chargers have given up 9.8 to WR2s (+10% vs the league average of 8.9).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Rashee Rice scored: Wk 1 9.9, Wk 2 12.3, Wk 3 15.8. Average 12.7; weighted toward recent games it is 15.4.
2. The defense. Over 5 games, the Chargers allowed 9.8 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.9, so that is +10%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 5 defensive games, only 63% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +6% adjustment (x1.06).
4. Result. 15.4 x 1.06 = 16.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Rashee Rice is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (16.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 6.5 points, leaning on Rashee Rice's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 16.
With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 2.2 receptions, 31.2 receiving yards and 0.4 receiving TDs against the Chargers across 5 games.
- The Chargers allow 9.8 PPR points to WR2s, +10% versus the league average of 8.9 (ranked 8 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- Outlier: Week 2, Cody White (16.4 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 9.8 vs 8.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 1, Michael Wilson (5 rec) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: rec 2.2 vs 1.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 5 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 4.7 to 16.4 (median 10.6).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 2 of 5 games (40%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.