Xavier Legette
WR
Carolina PanthersIR
This is how WRs have played against the Lions in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Lions in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NO | Bryce Lance | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 2 |  BUF | Khalil Shakir | 6 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 6.8 |
| 3 |  NYJ | Isaiah Williams | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3.1 |
| Average | 4.0 | 2.3 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 5.7 | ||
| Median | 4.0 | 3.0 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 6.8 | ||
| High | 6 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 7.2 | ||
| Low | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 3.1 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Xavier Legette should do vs the LionsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Lions, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Xavier Legette has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Lions opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Xavier Legette will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Lions avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Xavier Legette's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Xavier Legette usually produces.
Projected is Xavier Legette's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Lions were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 2 | ATL | 4 | 2 | 64 | 0 | 8.4 |
| Legette avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | |
| Lions WR3 avg | 4.0 | 2.3 | 33.7 | 0.0 | 5.7 | |
| Difference | +1.0 | +1.3 | +1.7 | +0.0 | +1.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Legette averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreXavier Legette vs the Lions
Prediction for Xavier Legette
Nobody knows which slot Xavier Legette will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Lions.
I predict about 6.0 points for Xavier Legette if playing as a WR3. Xavier Legette has averaged 4.2 over 2 games, and the Lions have given up 5.7 to WR3s (+25% vs the league average of 4.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Xavier Legette scored: Wk 1 0.0, Wk 2 8.4. Average 4.2; weighted toward recent games it is 5.3.
2. The defense. Over 3 games, the Lions allowed 5.7 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.6, so that is +25%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 3 defensive games, only 50% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +12% adjustment (x1.12).
4. Result. 5.3 x 1.12 = 6.0. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Xavier Legette is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (6.0) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.6 points, leaning on Xavier Legette's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 6.
With only 2 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 2.3 receptions, 33.7 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Lions across 3 games.
- The Lions allow 5.7 PPR points to WR3s, +25% versus the league average of 4.6 (ranked 10 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
- 0 of 3 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.1 to 7.2 (median 6.8).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 0 of 3 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.