Pat Bryant
WR
Denver BroncosIR
- Teammate RJ Harvey (a top target) is on IR, so Bryant may see more targets.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how WRs have played against the Panthers in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Panthers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CHI | Luther Burden III | 5 | 5 | 63 | 0 | 9.5 |
| 2 |  ATL | Zachariah Branch | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| 3 |  CLE | KC Concepcion | 9 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2.9 |
| 4 |  DET | Amon-Ra St. Brown | 11 | 8 | 75 | 0 | 15.5 |
| 6 |  PHI | Makai Lemon | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 4.9 |
| 7 |  TB | Chris Godwin Jr. | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 6.7 |
| 8 |  GB | Christian Watson | 10 | 8 | 113 | 0 | 17.3 |
| Average | 6.9 | 4.6 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 8.6 | ||
| Median | 6.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 6.7 | ||
| High | 11 | 8 | 113 | 0 | 17.3 | ||
| Low | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2.9 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Pat Bryant should do vs the PanthersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Panthers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Pat Bryant has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Panthers opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Pat Bryant will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Panthers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Pat Bryant's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Pat Bryant usually produces.
Projected is Pat Bryant's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Panthers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | 6 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 8.2 |
| 2 | JAX | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 3 | LA | 2 | 2 | 44 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 4 | SF | 3 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 7.7 |
| Bryant avg | 3.0 | 2.3 | 33.3 | 0.3 | 8.0 | |
| Panthers WR2 avg | 6.9 | 4.6 | 45.7 | 0.0 | 8.6 | |
| Difference | +3.9 | +2.3 | +12.5 | -0.3 | +0.6 | |
| Projected as WR2 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 32.8 | 0.2 | 7.5 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Bryant averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Pat BryantGood confidence · 8.2 proj ptsOut
- Pat Bryant averages 8.0 PPR points over 4 games (recent-weighted 8.3) and has played as the team's WR2.
- The Panthers have allowed 8.6 points to WR2s over 7 games (-2% vs league). The model applies 70% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -1% adjustment.
- Last season's average (6.2) is blended in at 33% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Game environment +2%: Vegas total 44.5, implied 23.5 points for DEN (league avg 22.6); Mild weather (64F, 5 mph wind): no weather adjustment.
- Opposing-defense injuries (+5%): Opposing starter Will Lee III (CB) is questionable, which helps the passing game. Opposing starter Bobby Okereke (LB) is questionable, which helps the passing game.
- Teammate injuries (+1%): Teammate RJ Harvey (a top target) is on IR, which can mean extra looks for Bryant.
- Injury report: IR. The projection assumes the player plays.
- Projection: 8.2 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scorePat Bryant vs the Panthers
Prediction for Pat Bryant
Nobody knows which slot Pat Bryant will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Panthers.
I predict about 7.5 points for Pat Bryant if playing as a WR2. Pat Bryant has averaged 8.0 over 4 games, and the Panthers have given up 8.6 to WR2s (-2% vs the league average of 8.8).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Pat Bryant scored: Wk 1 8.2, Wk 2 1.6, Wk 3 14.4, Wk 4 7.7. Average 8.0; weighted toward recent games it is 7.6.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Panthers allowed 8.6 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.8, so that is -2%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -1% adjustment (x0.99).
4. Result. 7.6 x 0.99 = 7.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Pat Bryant is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (7.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.0 points, leaning on Pat Bryant's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 7.
With only 4 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 4.6 receptions, 45.7 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Panthers across 7 games.
- The Panthers allow 8.6 PPR points to WR2s, -2% versus the league average of 8.8 (ranked 18 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 8, Christian Watson (17.3 pts, 8 rec, 113 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.6 vs 7.2; rec 4.6 vs 4.0; yds 45.7 vs 34.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 2, Zachariah Branch (3.4 pts, 2 rec, 14 yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 8.6 vs 9.5; rec 4.6 vs 5.0; yds 45.7 vs 51.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 2 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 2.9 to 17.3 (median 6.7).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 0 of 7 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.