SportsProof
Quinshon Judkins

Quinshon Judkins

RBCLECleveland Browns

Other RBs on CLE
Heads up
  • Quarterback Deshaun Watson is questionable. Watch the status.
  • Teammate Denzel Boston (a top target) is questionable.
  • Teammate Harold Fannin Jr. (a top target) is questionable.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
7
2026 season
PPR PPG
12.4
RB23 overall
Total pts
86.6

This is how RBs have played against the Steelers in the 2026 season.

RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Steelers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.

WkTeamPlayerCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1ATLATLBijan Robinson2183010890131.3
2NENETreVeyon Henderson16761000013.6
3CINCINChase Brown1361022808.9
Average16.773.30.34.03.332.70.317.9
Median16.076.00.02.02.08.00.013.6
High2183110890131.3
Low1361000008.9

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

RB1 avg pts
17.9
PPR per game
Rank
8
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+16%
lg avg 15.4
How Quinshon Judkins should do vs the SteelersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Steelers, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Quinshon Judkins has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Steelers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Quinshon Judkins will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Steelers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Quinshon Judkins's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Quinshon Judkins usually produces.

Projected is Quinshon Judkins's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Steelers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCarRuYdRuTDTgtRecReYdReTDFPts
1JAX12330221707.0
2TB12210552709.8
3CAR1870022909.9
4PIT175317643021.6
5NYJ1444043608.0
7TEN17962118023.4
8PIT11250222406.9
Judkins avg14.448.90.43.33.019.10.012.4
Steelers RB1 avg16.773.30.34.03.332.70.317.9
Difference+2.2+24.5-0.1+0.7+0.3+13.5+0.3+5.6

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Judkins averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Prediction & chance to scoreQuinshon Judkins vs the Steelers

Prediction for Quinshon Judkins

Nobody knows which slot Quinshon Judkins will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Steelers.

If Quinshon Judkins plays as
11.2
projected PPR points

I predict about 11.2 points for Quinshon Judkins if playing as a RB1. Quinshon Judkins has averaged 8.9 over 3 games, and the Steelers have given up 17.9 to RB1s (+16% vs the league average of 15.4).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Quinshon Judkins scored: Wk 1 7.0, Wk 2 9.8, Wk 3 9.9. Average 8.9; weighted toward recent games it is 10.3.

2. The defense. Over 3 games, the Steelers allowed 17.9 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 15.4, so that is +16%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 3 defensive games, only 50% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +8% adjustment (x1.08).

4. Result. 10.3 x 1.08 = 11.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Quinshon Judkins is to reach it as a RB1.

46%
chance of 11+ PPR points
Why this percentage?

The projection (11.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 4.5 points, leaning on Quinshon Judkins's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 11.

With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • RB1s have averaged 16.7 carries, 73.3 rushing yards and 3.3 receptions against the Steelers across 3 games.
  • The Steelers allow 17.9 PPR points to RB1s, +16% versus the league average of 15.4 (ranked 8 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 1, Bijan Robinson (31.3 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.9 vs 11.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 3, Chase Brown (8.9 pts) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.9 vs 22.4. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 2 of 3 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 8.9 to 31.3 (median 13.6).
  • Every RB1 in the sample cleared 60 rushing yards.
  • RB1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 3 games (67%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.