‹ Rushing yards
Cam Skattebo
RB New York Giants · Wk 2 @ 
LA
Chance of 70+ rushing yds
51%Rank
#8
of 52
Why Skattebo ranks #8
- Cam Skattebo has reached 70+ rushing yds in 1 of 1 game this season.
- Skattebo has 81 rushing yards in 1 game (81.00 per game) on 18.0 carries per game. With a small sample, that is blended with what a typical RB at this workload produces (74.12 per game), giving 76.41 per game.
- The Rams have allowed 133.00 rushing yards per game to RBs over 1 game, versus a league average of 90.92 (+46%). Only 25% of that gap is applied because the sample is small, a x1.12 adjustment.
- Game environment (rushing yards x0.94): Vegas total 47.5, implied 20.5 points for NYG (league avg 22.5); Underdog by 6.5: likely to pass more while trailing; Indoors: no weather effect, a small boost for passing and kicking.
- Expected rushing yards this week: 80.35. That makes the chance of 70+ rushing yds 51%.
- Small sample: only 1 game so far, so treat this as directional.
How the math works
Rate: (actual total + 2 games of the typical rate) divided by (games played + 2). This keeps one or two games from swinging the estimate.
Matchup: the opponent's allowed rate to RBs divided by the league average, with only n/(n+3) of the gap applied and limited to x0.75 to x1.3.
Chance: expected 80.35, spread by about 48.2 yards per game, then the chance of reaching 70+.
It does not know about injuries, snap counts, game script or weather.
Cam Skattebo's games
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DAL | 18 | 81 | 1 |
| Average | 18.0 | 81.0 | 1.0 | |
What the Rams allow to RBs
| Wk | Offense | Car | RuYd |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SF | 24 | 133 |
| Rams avg / game | 24.00 | 133.00 | |
| League avg | 22.08 | 90.92 | |
Totals are for every RB the Rams faced in each game, not just one player.