SportsProof
Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota

QBWASWashington Commanders

Other QBs on WAS
Heads up
  • Top target Terry McLaurin is on IR, which can lower the passing game.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
3
2026 season
PPR PPG
11.5
QB36 overall
Total pts
34.5

This is how QBs have played against the Cowboys in the 2026 season.

WkTeamPlayerCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
1NYGNYGJaxson Dart2329230301154026.6
Average23.029.0230.03.00.011.054.00.026.6
Median23.029.0230.03.00.011.054.00.026.6
High2329230301154026.6
Low2329230301154026.6

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts
26.6
PPR per game
Rank
4
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+53%
lg avg 17.4
How Marcus Mariota should do vs the CowboysSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Cowboys, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Marcus Mariota has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Cowboys opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Marcus Mariota will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Cowboys avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Marcus Mariota's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Marcus Mariota usually produces.

Projected is Marcus Mariota's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Cowboys were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against
WkOppCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
2DAL1116111101308.7
3SEA193118330511020.4
4IND34460013505.3
Mariota avg11.017.0113.31.30.02.316.30.011.5
Cowboys QB1 avg23.029.0230.03.00.011.054.00.026.6
Difference+12.0+12.0+116.7+1.7+0.0+8.7+37.7+0.0+15.1

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Mariota averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • QB1s have averaged 230.0 passing yards, 3.0 passing TDs and 54.0 rushing yards against the Cowboys across 1 game.
  • The Cowboys allow 26.6 PPR points to QB1s, +53% versus the league average of 17.4 (ranked 4 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
  • QB1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 1 games (100%).
  • Small sample: only 1 game so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.