Marquez Valdes-Scantling
WR
Los Angeles Chargers
This is how WRs have played against the Rams in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Rams in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SF | Demarcus Robinson | 3 | 2 | 50 | 1 | 13.0 |
| 2 |  NYG | Malik Nabers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 |
| 3 |  DEN | Jaylen Waddle | 7 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 4 |  PHI | Dontayvion Wicks | 5 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 4.8 |
| 5 |  BUF | Skyler Bell | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 6 |  ARI | Jalen Brooks | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 5.0 |
| 7 |  LV | Cody White | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Average | 3.9 | 1.6 | 16.1 | 0.1 | 4.5 | ||
| Median | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 4.8 | ||
| High | 7 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 13.0 | ||
| Low | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Marquez Valdes-Scantling should do vs the RamsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Rams, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Marquez Valdes-Scantling has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Rams opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Marquez Valdes-Scantling will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Rams avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Marquez Valdes-Scantling's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Marquez Valdes-Scantling usually produces.
Projected is Marquez Valdes-Scantling's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Rams were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BUF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | DEN | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 |
| Valdes-Scantling avg | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 | |
| Rams WR3 avg | 3.9 | 1.6 | 16.1 | 0.1 | 4.5 | |
| Difference | +2.2 | +0.9 | +8.8 | +0.1 | +3.1 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Valdes-Scantling averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreMarquez Valdes-Scantling vs the Rams
Prediction for Marquez Valdes-Scantling
Nobody knows which slot Marquez Valdes-Scantling will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Rams.
I predict about 2.5 points for Marquez Valdes-Scantling if playing as a WR3. Marquez Valdes-Scantling has averaged 1.4 over 3 games, and the Rams have given up 4.5 to WR3s (+4% vs the league average of 4.4).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Marquez Valdes-Scantling scored: Wk 3 0.0, Wk 4 0.0, Wk 5 4.2. Average 1.4; weighted toward recent games it is 2.5.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Rams allowed 4.5 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.4, so that is +4%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +3% adjustment (x1.03).
4. Result. 2.5 x 1.03 = 2.5. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Marquez Valdes-Scantling is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (2.5) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.0 points, leaning on Marquez Valdes-Scantling's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 3 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 1.6 receptions, 16.1 receiving yards and 0.1 receiving TDs against the Rams across 7 games.
- The Rams allow 4.5 PPR points to WR3s, +4% versus the league average of 4.4 (ranked 15 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, Demarcus Robinson (13.0 pts, 50 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 4.5 vs 3.1; yds 16.1 vs 10.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 1 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.0 to 13.0 (median 4.8).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 1 of 7 games (14%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.