Jakobi Meyers
WR
Jacksonville Jaguars
This is how WRs have played against the Bears in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Bears in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CAR | Tetairoa McMillan | 8 | 5 | 75 | 0 | 10.5 |
| 2 |  MIN | Jordan Addison | 5 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 4.1 |
| 3 |  PHI | Makai Lemon | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 5.9 |
| 4 |  NYJ | Garrett Wilson | 4 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 5 |  GB | Matthew Golden | 7 | 6 | 123 | 0 | 20.3 |
| 6 |  ATL | Drake London | 10 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 12.2 |
| 7 |  NE | DeMario Douglas | 4 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 8 |  SEA | Cooper Kupp | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Average | 5.6 | 3.4 | 45.9 | 0.1 | 9.0 | ||
| Median | 4.5 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 6.8 | ||
| High | 10 | 6 | 123 | 1 | 20.3 | ||
| Low | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4.1 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Jakobi Meyers should do vs the BearsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Bears, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Jakobi Meyers has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Bears opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Jakobi Meyers will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Bears avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Jakobi Meyers's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Jakobi Meyers usually produces.
Projected is Jakobi Meyers's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Bears were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLE | 2 | 2 | 40 | 1 | 12.2 |
| 2 | DEN | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 3.8 |
| 3 | NE | 8 | 7 | 64 | 1 | 19.4 |
| 4 | CIN | 4 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 5 | PHI | 3 | 2 | 37 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 6 | HOU | 10 | 5 | 83 | 0 | 13.3 |
| 8 | IND | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 4.4 |
| Meyers avg | 4.4 | 3.1 | 44.1 | 0.3 | 9.3 | |
| Bears WR2 avg | 5.6 | 3.4 | 45.9 | 0.1 | 9.0 | |
| Difference | +1.2 | +0.2 | +1.7 | -0.2 | -0.3 | |
| Projected as WR2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 44.9 | 0.3 | 9.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Meyers averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Jakobi MeyersGood confidence · 9.3 proj pts5/10 start
- Jakobi Meyers averages 9.3 PPR points over 7 games (recent-weighted 8.7) and has played as the team's WR2.
- The Bears have allowed 9.0 points to WR2s over 8 games (+2% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +2% adjustment.
- Last season's average (11.0) is blended in at 22% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 9.3 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreJakobi Meyers vs the Bears
Prediction for Jakobi Meyers
Nobody knows which slot Jakobi Meyers will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Bears.
I predict about 9.3 points for Jakobi Meyers if playing as a WR2. Jakobi Meyers has averaged 9.3 over 7 games, and the Bears have given up 9.0 to WR2s (+2% vs the league average of 8.8).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Jakobi Meyers scored: Wk 1 12.2, Wk 2 3.8, Wk 3 19.4, Wk 4 6.3, Wk 5 5.7, Wk 6 13.3, Wk 8 4.4. Average 9.3; weighted toward recent games it is 9.2.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Bears allowed 9.0 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.8, so that is +2%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a +2% adjustment (x1.02).
4. Result. 9.2 x 1.02 = 9.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Jakobi Meyers is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (9.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.8 points, leaning on Jakobi Meyers's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 9.
With only 7 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 3.4 receptions, 45.9 receiving yards and 0.1 receiving TDs against the Bears across 8 games.
- The Bears allow 9.0 PPR points to WR2s, +2% versus the league average of 8.8 (ranked 14 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 5, Matthew Golden (20.3 pts, 6 rec, 123 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 9.0 vs 7.3; rec 3.4 vs 3.0; yds 45.9 vs 34.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 8, Cooper Kupp (7 yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: yds 45.9 vs 51.4. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 8 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 4.1 to 20.3 (median 6.8).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 1 of 8 games (13%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.