Chuba Hubbard
RB
Carolina Panthers▲ Hot
This is how RBs have played against the Buccaneers in the 2026 season.
RB1 = the highest-scoring RB against Buccaneers in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CIN | Chase Brown | 16 | 56 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 18.8 |
| 2 |  CLE | Quinshon Judkins | 12 | 21 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 9.8 |
| 3 |  MIN | Aaron Jones | 17 | 58 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 14.2 |
| 4 |  GB | MarShawn Lloyd | 7 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 9.9 |
| 5 |  DAL | Javonte Williams | 12 | 45 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 14.2 |
| 6 |  PIT | Jaylen Warren | 14 | 50 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 0 | 9.8 |
| Average | 13.0 | 40.5 | 0.3 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 12.8 | ||
| Median | 13.0 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 27.5 | 0.0 | 12.1 | ||
| High | 17 | 58 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 18.8 | ||
| Low | 7 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 9.8 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Chuba Hubbard should do vs the BuccaneersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Buccaneers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Chuba Hubbard has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Buccaneers opponents to line them up with: the best RB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Chuba Hubbard will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Buccaneers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Chuba Hubbard's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Chuba Hubbard usually produces.
Projected is Chuba Hubbard's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Buccaneers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Car | RuYd | RuTD | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 10 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 23.7 |
| 2 | ATL | 12 | 53 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 3 | CLE | 19 | 82 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 15.0 |
| 4 | DET | 20 | 122 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 25.9 |
| 6 | PHI | 28 | 120 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19.1 |
| 7 | TB | 7 | 33 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 10.0 |
| 8 | GB | 22 | 81 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 0 | 24.9 |
| Hubbard avg | 16.9 | 77.1 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 21.4 | 0.3 | 19.0 | |
| Buccaneers RB1 avg | 13.0 | 40.5 | 0.3 | 4.8 | 4.0 | 27.3 | 0.0 | 12.8 | |
| Difference | -3.9 | -36.6 | -0.4 | +1.1 | +0.9 | +5.9 | -0.3 | -6.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Hubbard averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreChuba Hubbard vs the Buccaneers
Prediction for Chuba Hubbard
Nobody knows which slot Chuba Hubbard will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Buccaneers.
I predict about 14.4 points for Chuba Hubbard if playing as a RB1. Chuba Hubbard has averaged 19.6 over 5 games, and the Buccaneers have given up 12.8 to RB1s (-19% vs the league average of 15.8).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Chuba Hubbard scored: Wk 1 23.7, Wk 2 14.4, Wk 3 15.0, Wk 4 25.9, Wk 6 19.1. Average 19.6; weighted toward recent games it is 16.5.
2. The defense. Over 6 games, the Buccaneers allowed 12.8 points to their opponent's RB1. The league average for that slot is 15.8, so that is -19%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 6 defensive games, only 67% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -13% adjustment (x0.87).
4. Result. 16.5 x 0.87 = 14.4. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Chuba Hubbard is to reach it as a RB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (14.4) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 5.8 points, leaning on Chuba Hubbard's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical RB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 14.
With only 5 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- RB1s have averaged 13.0 carries, 40.5 rushing yards and 4.0 receptions against the Buccaneers across 6 games.
- The Buccaneers allow 12.8 PPR points to RB1s, -19% versus the league average of 15.8 (ranked 27 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, Chase Brown (18.8 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 12.8 vs 11.6. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 6 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 9.8 to 18.8 (median 12.1).
- RB1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 6 games (33%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.