SportsProof
Davis Mills

Davis Mills

QBHOUHouston Texans

Other QBs on HOU
Games
0
2026 season
PPR PPG
–
Total pts
0.0

This is how QBs have played against the Commanders in the 2026 season.

WkTeamPlayerCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
1PHIPHIJalen Hurts142520330746024.7
2DALDALDak Prescott263127940426029.8
3SEASEASam Darnold31453794215027.7
4INDINDDaniel Jones1934143014217.9
5NYGNYGJameis Winston335432630527025.7
6SFSFBrock Purdy212926410528017.4
8PHIPHITanner McKee23342120142507.0
Average23.936.0258.02.10.64.322.70.120.0
Median23.034.0264.03.00.04.026.00.024.7
High335437942746129.8
Low1425143001207.0

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts
20.0
PPR per game
Rank
4
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+22%
lg avg 16.5
Start / Sit · Davis MillsLow confidence · 11.4 proj pts1/10 start
  • The Commanders have allowed 20.0 points to QB1s over 7 games (+0% vs league). The model applies 70% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +0% adjustment.
  • No games yet this season, so this uses last season's average (11.4).
  • Projection: 11.4 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level QB scores about 19.1 and a top-tier one about 23.8.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • QB1s have averaged 258.0 passing yards, 2.1 passing TDs and 22.7 rushing yards against the Commanders across 7 games.
  • The Commanders allow 20.0 PPR points to QB1s, +22% versus the league average of 16.5 (ranked 4 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a favorable matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 2, Dak Prescott (29.8 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 20.0 vs 18.4. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 4, Daniel Jones (7.9 pts) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 20.0 vs 22.0. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 5 of 7 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 7.0 to 29.8 (median 24.7).
  • Every QB1 in the sample cleared 120 passing yards.
  • QB1s scored a touchdown in 6 of 7 games (86%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.