Jalen Brooks
WR
Arizona CardinalsIR
- Teammate Michael Wilson (a top target) is questionable.
- Teammate Kendrick Bourne (a top target) is on IR, so Brooks may see more targets.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how WRs have played against the Seahawks in the 2026 season.
WR3 = the third-highest-scoring WR against Seahawks in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  NE | A.J. Brown | 4 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 5.6 |
| 2 | ARI | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3 |  WAS | Stefon Diggs | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 7.3 |
| 4 |  LAC | Derius Davis | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1.6 |
| 5 |  SF | Deebo Samuel Sr. | 3 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 2.5 |
| 6 |  DEN | Marvin Mims Jr. | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 7 |  KC | Justin Watson | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.7 |
| 8 |  CHI | Kalif Raymond | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Average | 3.0 | 1.9 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | ||
| Median | 3.0 | 2.0 | 13.5 | 0.0 | 2.9 | ||
| High | 7 | 4 | 33 | 0 | 7.3 | ||
| Low | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Jalen Brooks should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Jalen Brooks has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Jalen Brooks will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Jalen Brooks's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Jalen Brooks usually produces.
Projected is Jalen Brooks's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | DET | 7 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 3.6 |
| 6 | LA | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 5.0 |
| 7 | DEN | 6 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 4.5 |
| Brooks avg | 4.3 | 1.3 | 20.3 | 0.0 | 3.3 | |
| Seahawks WR3 avg | 3.0 | 1.9 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | |
| Difference | -1.3 | +0.6 | -5.3 | +0.0 | +0.4 | |
| Projected as WR3 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 17.9 | 0.0 | 3.2 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Brooks averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Jalen BrooksGood confidence · 2.9 proj ptsOut
- Jalen Brooks averages 3.3 PPR points over 4 games (recent-weighted 3.7) and has played as the team's WR3.
- The Seahawks have allowed 3.7 points to WR3s over 8 games (-16% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -12% adjustment.
- Game environment -13%: Vegas total 39.5, implied 15.5 points for ARI (league avg 22.6); Underdog by 8.5: likely to pass more while trailing; Rain likely (0.6 mm, 12% chance): teams run more, fewer big passes.
- Opposing-defense injuries (+1%): Opposing starter Leonard Williams (DL) is questionable, which helps the passing game.
- Teammate injuries (+2%): Teammate Michael Wilson (a top target) is questionable, which can mean extra looks for Brooks. Teammate Kendrick Bourne (a top target) is on IR, which can mean extra looks for Brooks.
- Injury report: IR. The projection assumes the player plays.
- Projection: 2.9 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreJalen Brooks vs the Seahawks
Prediction for Jalen Brooks
Nobody knows which slot Jalen Brooks will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.
I predict about 3.2 points for Jalen Brooks if playing as a WR3. Jalen Brooks has averaged 3.3 over 4 games, and the Seahawks have given up 3.7 to WR3s (-16% vs the league average of 4.4).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Jalen Brooks scored: Wk 3 0.0, Wk 5 3.6, Wk 6 5.0, Wk 7 4.5. Average 3.3; weighted toward recent games it is 3.7.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Seahawks allowed 3.7 points to their opponent's WR3. The league average for that slot is 4.4, so that is -16%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -12% adjustment (x0.88).
4. Result. 3.7 x 0.88 = 3.2. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Jalen Brooks is to reach it as a WR3.
Why this percentage?
The projection (3.2) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.2 points, leaning on Jalen Brooks's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 4 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR3s have averaged 1.9 receptions, 15.0 receiving yards and 0.0 receiving TDs against the Seahawks across 8 games.
- The Seahawks allow 3.7 PPR points to WR3s, -16% versus the league average of 4.4 (ranked 23 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 0 of 8 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 0.0 to 7.3 (median 2.9).
- WR3s scored a touchdown in 0 of 8 games (0%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.