Stetson Bennett
QB
Los Angeles Rams
- Top target Davante Adams is on IR, which can lower the passing game.
A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.
This is how QBs have played against the Chargers in the 2026 season.
| Wk | Team | Player | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ARI | Jacoby Brissett | 27 | 37 | 277 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 16.5 |
| 2 |  LV | Kirk Cousins | 19 | 29 | 253 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20.2 |
| 3 |  BUF | Josh Allen | 16 | 26 | 204 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 17.5 |
| 4 |  SEA | Sam Darnold | 13 | 22 | 168 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13.3 |
| 5 |  DEN | Bo Nix | 16 | 27 | 123 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 7.9 |
| 6 |  KC | Patrick Mahomes | 23 | 30 | 272 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 10.5 |
| Average | 19.0 | 28.5 | 216.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 11.5 | 0.3 | 14.3 | ||
| Median | 17.5 | 28.0 | 228.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 12.0 | 0.0 | 14.9 | ||
| High | 27 | 37 | 277 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 20.2 | ||
| Low | 13 | 22 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Stetson Bennett should do vs the ChargersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Chargers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Stetson Bennett has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Chargers opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Stetson Bennett will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Chargers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Stetson Bennett's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Stetson Bennett usually produces.
Projected is Stetson Bennett's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Chargers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.4 |
| Bennett avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | |
| Chargers QB1 avg | 19.0 | 28.5 | 216.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 11.5 | 0.3 | 14.3 | |
| Difference | +17.0 | +25.5 | +203.2 | +1.2 | +0.8 | +4.0 | +2.5 | +0.3 | +12.9 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Bennett averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreStetson Bennett vs the Chargers
Prediction for Stetson Bennett
Nobody knows which slot Stetson Bennett will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Chargers.
I predict about 1.3 points for Stetson Bennett if playing as a QB1. Stetson Bennett has averaged 1.4 over 1 game, and the Chargers have given up 14.3 to QB1s (-14% vs the league average of 16.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Stetson Bennett scored: Wk 1 1.4. Average 1.4; weighted toward recent games it is 1.4.
2. The defense. Over 6 games, the Chargers allowed 14.3 points to their opponent's QB1. The league average for that slot is 16.6, so that is -14%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 6 defensive games, only 67% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -9% adjustment (x0.91).
4. Result. 1.4 x 0.91 = 1.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Stetson Bennett is to reach it as a QB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (1.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 0.8 points, leaning on Stetson Bennett's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical QB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 1.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- QB1s have averaged 216.2 passing yards, 1.2 passing TDs and 11.5 rushing yards against the Chargers across 6 games.
- The Chargers allow 14.3 PPR points to QB1s, -14% versus the league average of 16.6 (ranked 26 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- 3 of 6 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 7.9 to 20.2 (median 14.9).
- Every QB1 in the sample cleared 120 passing yards.
- QB1s scored a touchdown in 5 of 6 games (83%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.