Malik Washington
WR
Miami Dolphins
This is how WRs have played against the Broncos in the 2026 season.
WR1 = the highest-scoring WR against Broncos in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  KC | Rashee Rice | 2 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 9.9 |
| 2 |  JAX | Parker Washington | 12 | 7 | 98 | 0 | 16.8 |
| 3 |  LA | Davante Adams | 13 | 7 | 137 | 0 | 20.7 |
| 4 |  SF | Deebo Samuel Sr. | 6 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 18.0 |
| 5 |  LAC | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 3 | 2 | 22 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 6 |  SEA | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 16 | 12 | 134 | 0 | 25.4 |
| 7 |  ARI | Michael Wilson | 8 | 4 | 55 | 0 | 10.6 |
| 8 | KC | Rashee Rice | 8 | 7 | 53 | 1 | 18.3 |
| Average | 8.5 | 5.8 | 68.0 | 0.4 | 15.5 | ||
| Median | 8.0 | 6.0 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 17.4 | ||
| High | 16 | 12 | 137 | 1 | 25.4 | ||
| Low | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 4.2 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Malik Washington should do vs the BroncosSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Broncos, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Malik Washington has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Broncos opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Malik Washington will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Broncos avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Malik Washington's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Malik Washington usually produces.
Projected is Malik Washington's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Broncos were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LV | 8 | 3 | 53 | 0 | 6.3 |
| 2 | SF | 5 | 4 | 43 | 0 | 8.7 |
| 3 | KC | 10 | 5 | 56 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 4 | MIN | 5 | 5 | 67 | 0 | 12.0 |
| 5 | CIN | 8 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 12.1 |
| 7 | NYJ | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 6.5 |
| 8 | NE | 6 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 15.0 |
| Washington avg | 6.4 | 4.4 | 47.0 | 0.1 | 10.2 | |
| Broncos WR1 avg | 8.5 | 5.8 | 68.0 | 0.4 | 15.5 | |
| Difference | +2.1 | +1.3 | +21.0 | +0.2 | +5.2 | |
| Projected as WR1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 43.7 | 0.1 | 9.3 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Washington averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Start / Sit · Malik WashingtonGood confidence · 9.3 proj pts5/10 start
- Malik Washington averages 10.2 PPR points over 7 games (recent-weighted 10.9) and has played as the team's WR1.
- The Broncos have allowed 15.5 points to WR1s over 8 games (-10% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -7% adjustment.
- Last season's average (6.9) is blended in at 22% weight because this season's sample is small.
- Projection: 9.3 points.
- For reference, a typical weekly starter-level WR scores about 12.2 and a top-tier one about 20.9.
- A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
Prediction & chance to scoreMalik Washington vs the Broncos
Prediction for Malik Washington
Nobody knows which slot Malik Washington will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Broncos.
I predict about 9.3 points for Malik Washington if playing as a WR1. Malik Washington has averaged 10.2 over 7 games, and the Broncos have given up 15.5 to WR1s (-10% vs the league average of 17.1).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Malik Washington scored: Wk 1 6.3, Wk 2 8.7, Wk 3 11.1, Wk 4 12.0, Wk 5 12.1, Wk 7 6.5, Wk 8 15.0. Average 10.2; weighted toward recent games it is 10.0.
2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Broncos allowed 15.5 points to their opponent's WR1. The league average for that slot is 17.1, so that is -10%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -7% adjustment (x0.93).
4. Result. 10.0 x 0.93 = 9.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Malik Washington is to reach it as a WR1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (9.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 3.7 points, leaning on Malik Washington's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 9.
With only 7 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR1s have averaged 5.8 receptions, 68.0 receiving yards and 0.4 receiving TDs against the Broncos across 8 games.
- The Broncos allow 15.5 PPR points to WR1s, -10% versus the league average of 17.1 (ranked 20 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- Outlier: Week 6, Jaxon Smith-Njigba (25.4 pts, 12 rec, 134 yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 15.5 vs 14.1; rec 5.8 vs 4.9; yds 68.0 vs 58.6. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 5, Marquez Valdes-Scantling (4.2 pts, 2 rec, 22 yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 15.5 vs 17.1; rec 5.8 vs 6.3; yds 68.0 vs 74.6. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 6 of 8 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 4.2 to 25.4 (median 17.4).
- WR1s scored a touchdown in 3 of 8 games (38%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.