Michael Penix Jr.
QB
Atlanta Falcons
This is how QBs have played against the Packers in the 2026 season.
| Wk | Team | Player | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | Carson Wentz | 12 | 19 | 133 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 19.2 |
| 2 | NYJ | Geno Smith | 27 | 41 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 15.6 |
| Average | 19.5 | 30.0 | 190.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 17.4 | ||
| Median | 19.5 | 30.0 | 190.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 17.4 | ||
| High | 27 | 41 | 247 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 19.2 | ||
| Low | 12 | 19 | 133 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 15.6 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Michael Penix Jr. should do vs the PackersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Packers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Michael Penix Jr. has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Packers opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Michael Penix Jr. will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Packers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Michael Penix Jr.'s own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Michael Penix Jr. usually produces.
Projected is Michael Penix Jr.'s recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Packers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | GB | 18 | 25 | 256 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 14.0 |
| 4 | NO | 15 | 20 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 12.7 |
| 5 | BAL | 19 | 32 | 240 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 14.4 |
| 6 | CHI | 19 | 33 | 225 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23.1 |
| 7 | SF | 25 | 34 | 213 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 20.4 |
| 8 | TB | 8 | 24 | 125 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Jr. avg | 17.3 | 28.0 | 213.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 13.8 | |
| Packers QB1 avg | 19.5 | 30.0 | 190.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 17.4 | |
| Difference | +2.2 | +2.0 | -23.7 | +0.5 | -0.8 | +2.2 | +5.5 | +0.0 | +3.6 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Jr. averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- QB1s have averaged 190.0 passing yards, 2.0 passing TDs and 8.0 rushing yards against the Packers across 2 games.
- The Packers allow 17.4 PPR points to QB1s, +3% versus the league average of 16.8 (ranked 15 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
- 2 of 2 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 15.6 to 19.2 (median 17.4).
- Every QB1 in the sample cleared 120 passing yards.
- QB1s scored a touchdown in 2 of 2 games (100%).
- Small sample: only 2 games so far. Treat these numbers as directional, not settled.
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.

