KeAndre Lambert-Smith
WR
Los Angeles Chargers
This is how WRs have played against the Rams in the 2026 season.
WR2 = the second-highest-scoring WR against Rams in each game, not a fixed depth-chart spot.
| Wk | Team | Player | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SF | Mike Evans | 7 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 16.9 |
| 2 |  NYG | Malachi Fields | 6 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 5.0 |
| 3 |  DEN | Courtland Sutton | 7 | 3 | 46 | 0 | 7.6 |
| 4 |  PHI | Makai Lemon | 6 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 5.7 |
| 5 |  BUF | Keon Coleman | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 7.7 |
| 6 |  ARI | Michael Wilson | 7 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 7 |  LV | Jalen Nailor | 5 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.4 |
| Average | 5.7 | 3.0 | 29.3 | 0.3 | 7.6 | ||
| Median | 6.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 7.2 | ||
| High | 7 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 16.9 | ||
| Low | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3.4 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How KeAndre Lambert-Smith should do vs the RamsSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Rams, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game KeAndre Lambert-Smith has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Rams opponents to line them up with: the best WR they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot KeAndre Lambert-Smith will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Rams avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus KeAndre Lambert-Smith's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than KeAndre Lambert-Smith usually produces.
Projected is KeAndre Lambert-Smith's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Rams were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Tgt | Rec | ReYd | ReTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | KC | 9 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Lambert-Smith avg | 9.0 | 5.0 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 6.2 | |
| Rams WR2 avg | 5.7 | 3.0 | 29.3 | 0.3 | 7.6 | |
| Difference | -3.3 | -2.0 | -2.7 | +0.3 | +1.4 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Lambert-Smith averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreKeAndre Lambert-Smith vs the Rams
Prediction for KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Nobody knows which slot KeAndre Lambert-Smith will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Rams.
I predict about 3.3 points for KeAndre Lambert-Smith if playing as a WR2. KeAndre Lambert-Smith has averaged 6.2 over 1 game, and the Rams have given up 7.6 to WR2s (-12% vs the league average of 8.7).
How this projection is built
1. The player. KeAndre Lambert-Smith scored: Wk 6 6.2. Average 6.2; weighted toward recent games it is 3.6.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Rams allowed 7.6 points to their opponent's WR2. The league average for that slot is 8.7, so that is -12%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -8% adjustment (x0.92).
4. Result. 3.6 x 0.92 = 3.3. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely KeAndre Lambert-Smith is to reach it as a WR2.
Why this percentage?
The projection (3.3) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 2.0 points, leaning on KeAndre Lambert-Smith's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical WR swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 3.
With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- WR2s have averaged 3.0 receptions, 29.3 receiving yards and 0.3 receiving TDs against the Rams across 7 games.
- The Rams allow 7.6 PPR points to WR2s, -12% versus the league average of 8.7 (ranked 23 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 1, Mike Evans (16.9 pts, 6 rec) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 7.6 vs 6.1; rec 3.0 vs 2.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 1 of 7 games reached 10+ PPR points. Scores range from 3.4 to 16.9 (median 7.2).
- WR2s scored a touchdown in 2 of 7 games (29%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.