SportsProof

Hidden Gems · Week 9

Players who have been scoring well lately and face a defense that has been giving up the most points to their position. Not the household names, the ones you'd only find by digging through the matchup tables.

0 gems · 8 stars hidden · PPRInclude the stars

No hidden gems at this position this week. Try All positions, or include the stars.

How gems are found, and the catch

A player is only listed if both are true. Playing well: he averaged at least a useful weekly starter's points (the same line the start/sit verdict uses for his position) over his last 3 games, and played in one of his team's last two, without fading well below his own earlier average. Soft matchup: this week's opponent has allowed at least 12% more fantasy points than the league average to players in his role, over at least 3 games.

The gem score (0-100) is half matchup softness and half recent form, so a player who is only fine but in a dream matchup doesn't outrank one who is both. Injuries then move it: down for his own Questionable tag, a hurt starting QB or two or more offensive linemen out; up for hurt teammates whose work he may absorb and for starters missing on the defense he faces. “Star” means a player already ranked in the top 12 QB, 20 RB, 28 WR or 10 TE on the season by points per game, so a starter in most leagues. Those are hidden by default, which leaves players outside that range who are heating up.

The catch: a few games is a small sample for both the player and the defense, and a defense can look soft because of who it has already played. Check the injury chip, and open the player to see the full matchup table behind the grade.

For information and entertainment only, not betting advice. Chances come from a statistical model built on this season's and last season's box scores; they are estimates, not locks. Must be 21+ where legal. If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.