Bryce Young
QB
Carolina Panthers
This is how QBs have played against the Packers in the 2026 season.
| Wk | Team | Player | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  MIN | Carson Wentz | 12 | 19 | 133 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 0 | 19.2 |
| 2 |  NYJ | Geno Smith | 27 | 41 | 247 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 0 | 15.6 |
| 3 |  ATL | Michael Penix Jr. | 18 | 25 | 256 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 14.0 |
| 4 |  TB | Jalon Daniels | 19 | 27 | 148 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 0 | 11.4 |
| 5 |  CHI | Tyson Bagent | 12 | 21 | 87 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 6 |  DAL | Dak Prescott | 34 | 54 | 258 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 11.0 |
| 7 |  DET | Jared Goff | 22 | 32 | 303 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 18.0 |
| Average | 20.6 | 31.3 | 204.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 12.9 | ||
| Median | 19.0 | 27.0 | 247.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | ||
| High | 34 | 54 | 303 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 55 | 0 | 19.2 | ||
| Low | 12 | 19 | 87 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 1.2 | ||
Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.
How Bryce Young should do vs the PackersSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection
Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Packers, plus a projection for this game.
What is this table?
Rows at the top are every game Bryce Young has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.
Compare against picks which group of Packers opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Bryce Young will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.
Packers avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Bryce Young's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Bryce Young usually produces.
Projected is Bryce Young's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Packers were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.
| Wk | Opp | Cmp | Att | PaYd | PaTD | INT | Car | RuYd | RuTD | FPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 23 | 37 | 361 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 31.4 |
| 2 | ATL | 23 | 36 | 287 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 24.1 |
| 3 | CLE | 26 | 48 | 291 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.6 |
| 4 | DET | 29 | 41 | 329 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 21.5 |
| 6 | PHI | 20 | 39 | 281 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 19.8 |
| 7 | TB | 14 | 27 | 163 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 5.4 |
| 8 | GB | 23 | 41 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.4 |
| Young avg | 22.6 | 38.4 | 274.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 0.1 | 18.0 | |
| Packers QB1 avg | 20.6 | 31.3 | 204.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 3.9 | 13.1 | 0.0 | 12.9 | |
| Difference | -2.0 | -7.1 | -69.9 | -0.6 | +0.3 | +2.4 | +8.3 | -0.1 | -5.1 | |
Difference is what the defense allows minus what Young averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.
Prediction & chance to scoreBryce Young vs the Packers
Prediction for Bryce Young
Nobody knows which slot Bryce Young will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Packers.
I predict about 13.6 points for Bryce Young if playing as a QB1. Bryce Young has averaged 19.3 over 6 games, and the Packers have given up 12.9 to QB1s (-22% vs the league average of 16.6).
How this projection is built
1. The player. Bryce Young scored: Wk 1 31.4, Wk 2 24.1, Wk 3 13.6, Wk 4 21.5, Wk 6 19.8, Wk 7 5.4. Average 19.3; weighted toward recent games it is 16.0.
2. The defense. Over 7 games, the Packers allowed 12.9 points to their opponent's QB1. The league average for that slot is 16.6, so that is -22%.
3. Trusting small samples less. With 7 defensive games, only 70% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -15% adjustment (x0.85).
4. Result. 16.0 x 0.85 = 13.6. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.
It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.
Chance to score
Type a point total to see how likely Bryce Young is to reach it as a QB1.
Why this percentage?
The projection (13.6) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 8.9 points, leaning on Bryce Young's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical QB swings before that).
Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 14.
With only 6 games of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
- QB1s have averaged 204.6 passing yards, 1.3 passing TDs and 13.1 rushing yards against the Packers across 7 games.
- The Packers allow 12.9 PPR points to QB1s, -22% versus the league average of 16.6 (ranked 28 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
- Outlier: Week 5, Tyson Bagent (1.2 pts, 87 pass yds) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 12.9 vs 14.9; pass yds 204.6 vs 224.2. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- Outlier: Week 7, Jared Goff (303 pass yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pass yds 204.6 vs 188.2. The table above keeps the raw averages.
- 3 of 7 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 1.2 to 19.2 (median 14.0).
- Every QB1 in the sample cleared 80 passing yards.
- QB1s scored a touchdown in 6 of 7 games (86%).
Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.