Fernando Mendoza

QBLas Vegas Raiders

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Games

2026 season

PPR PPG

2.2

QB47 overall

Total pts

2.2

This is how QBs have played against the Seahawks in the 2026 season.

Wk	Team	Player	Cmp	Att	PaYd	PaTD	INT	Car	RuYd	RuTD	FPts
1	NE	Drake Maye	23	33	178	1	3	7	47	0	9.8
2	ARI	Jacoby Brissett	17	28	95	1	1	1	7	0	6.5
3	WAS	Marcus Mariota	19	31	183	3	0	5	11	0	20.4
4	LAC	Justin Herbert	19	31	189	1	2	6	40	0	9.6
5	SF	Brock Purdy	19	29	189	2	1	5	6	0	16.2
6	DEN	Bo Nix	17	27	107	0	0	4	2	0	4.5
7	KC	Patrick Mahomes	19	33	165	0	1	2	14	0	6.0
8	CHI	Caleb Williams	24	34	247	1	0	2	1	0	14.0
Average			19.6	30.8	169.1	1.1	1.0	4.0	16.0	0.0	10.9
Median			19.0	31.0	180.5	1.0	1.0	4.5	9.0	0.0	9.7
High			24	34	247	3	3	7	47	0	20.4
Low			17	27	95	0	0	1	1	0	4.5

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts

10.9

PPR per game

Rank

of 32 (1 = most allowed)

vs League

-34%

lg avg 16.5

How Fernando Mendoza should do vs the SeahawksSeason log, the group you pick, and a projection

Season so far, compared with what the group you pick below has done against the Seahawks, plus a projection for this game.

What is this table?

Rows at the top are every game Fernando Mendoza has played this season, using the same stat columns as the table above.

Compare against picks which group of Seahawks opponents to line them up with: the best QB they faced in each game (1), the second best (2), the third best (3), or all of the top three. Nobody knows which slot Fernando Mendoza will land in this week, so this is your call, not a guess.

Seahawks avg is the average line of that group. Difference is that minus Fernando Mendoza's own average: green means the defense gives that slot more than Fernando Mendoza usually produces.

Projected is Fernando Mendoza's recent-weighted average scaled by how generous the Seahawks were to the slot you picked. Change the slot and the projected points change, because each slot has a different matchup adjustment. Picking Top 3 uses the usual-role projection.

Compare against

Wk	Opp	Cmp	Att	PaYd	PaTD	INT	Car	RuYd	RuTD	FPts
5	NE	6	8	48	0	0	1	3	0	2.2
Mendoza avg		6.0	8.0	48.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.0	2.2
Seahawks QB1 avg		19.6	30.8	169.1	1.1	1.0	4.0	16.0	0.0	10.9
Difference		+13.6	+22.8	+121.1	+1.1	+1.0	+3.0	+13.0	+0.0	+8.6
Projected as QB1		4.5	6.0	36.1	0.0	0.0	0.8	2.3	0.0	1.7

Difference is what the defense allows minus what Mendoza averages (green = defense gives up more). Projected stats scale the player's averages by the matchup adjustment, so they are a rough guide.

Start / Sit · Fernando MendozaLow confidence · 1.7 proj pts1/10 start

Fernando Mendoza averages 2.2 PPR points over 1 game (recent-weighted 2.2) and has played as the team's QB1.
The Seahawks have allowed 10.9 points to QB1s over 8 games (-34% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a -25% adjustment.
Projection: 1.7 points.
For reference, a typical weekly starter-level QB scores about 19.1 and a top-tier one about 23.8.
Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.

Prediction & chance to scoreFernando Mendoza vs the Seahawks

Prediction for Fernando Mendoza

Nobody knows which slot Fernando Mendoza will land in this week, so pick the one you expect. The projection changes because each slot faces a different average from the Seahawks.

If Fernando Mendoza plays as

1.7

projected PPR points

I predict about 1.7 points for Fernando Mendoza if playing as a QB1. Fernando Mendoza has averaged 2.2 over 1 game, and the Seahawks have given up 10.9 to QB1s (-34% vs the league average of 16.5).

How this projection is built

1. The player. Fernando Mendoza scored: Wk 5 2.2. Average 2.2; weighted toward recent games it is 2.2.

2. The defense. Over 8 games, the Seahawks allowed 10.9 points to their opponent's QB1. The league average for that slot is 16.5, so that is -34%.

3. Trusting small samples less. With 8 defensive games, only 73% of the gap is applied, capped at +/-30%. That gives a -25% adjustment (x0.75).

4. Result. 2.2 x 0.75 = 1.7. Switching slots only changes step 2 and 3: the player's own numbers stay the same, but each slot faces a different defensive average.

It is a statistical model, not knowledge of injuries, game script or weather.

Chance to score

Type a point total to see how likely Fernando Mendoza is to reach it as a QB1.

+ pts

31%

chance of 2+ PPR points

Why this percentage?

The projection (1.7) is the middle of the range. Fantasy scores swing a lot from game to game, so the model spreads possible scores around it by about 1.0 points, leaning on Fernando Mendoza's own game-to-game swings once there are several games (and on typical QB swings before that).

Scores are modelled as right-skewed, since a big game is possible but a very negative one is not. The percentage is the share of that spread at or above 2.

With only 1 game of history, treat this as a rough gauge. It gets sharper as the season goes on. It is never lower than 1% or higher than 99%.

InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table

QB1s have averaged 169.1 passing yards, 1.1 passing TDs and 16.0 rushing yards against the Seahawks across 8 games.
The Seahawks allow 10.9 PPR points to QB1s, -34% versus the league average of 16.5 (ranked 31 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a tough matchup.
Outlier: Week 3, Marcus Mariota (20.4 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 10.9 vs 9.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
2 of 8 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 4.5 to 20.4 (median 9.7).
Every QB1 in the sample cleared 80 passing yards.
QB1s scored a touchdown in 6 of 8 games (75%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.