SportsProof
Dillon Gabriel

Dillon Gabriel

QBCLECleveland Browns

Other QBs on CLE
Heads up
  • Top target Denzel Boston is questionable, which can lower the passing game.
  • Top target Harold Fannin Jr. is questionable, which can lower the passing game.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
0
2026 season
PPR PPG
–
Total pts
0.0

This is how QBs have played against the Colts in the 2026 season.

WkTeamPlayerCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
1BALBALLamar Jackson172532410740125.0
2KCKCPatrick Mahomes324738230217029.0
3HOUHOUC.J. Stroud162716710210011.7
4WASWASAthan Kaliakmanis153318611316011.0
5PITPITAaron Rodgers22312353016022.0
6TENTENCam Ward1122102113706.8
7MINMINKyler Murray142415010539013.9
8JAXJAXTrevor Lawrence101421030310019.4
Average17.127.9219.51.80.33.318.10.117.3
Median15.526.0198.01.00.03.013.00.016.6
High324738231740129.0
Low1014102101606.8

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts
17.3
PPR per game
Rank
15
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+5%
lg avg 16.5
Start / Sit · Dillon GabrielLow confidence · 7.8 proj pts1/10 start
  • The Colts have allowed 17.3 points to QB1s over 8 games (+0% vs league). The model applies 73% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +0% adjustment.
  • No games yet this season, so this uses last season's average (7.8).
  • Projection: 7.8 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level QB scores about 19.1 and a top-tier one about 23.8.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • QB1s have averaged 219.5 passing yards, 1.8 passing TDs and 18.1 rushing yards against the Colts across 8 games.
  • The Colts allow 17.3 PPR points to QB1s, +5% versus the league average of 16.5 (ranked 15 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 2, Patrick Mahomes (29.0 pts, 382 pass yds) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.3 vs 15.7; pass yds 219.5 vs 196.3. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 6, Cam Ward (6.8 pts) sits far below the other games and drags the averages down. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.3 vs 18.9. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 4 of 8 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 6.8 to 29.0 (median 16.6).
  • Every QB1 in the sample cleared 100 passing yards.
  • QB1s scored a touchdown in 8 of 8 games (100%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.