SportsProof
Joe Milton

Joe Milton

QBPHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Other QBs on PHI
Heads up
  • Top target DeVonta Smith is questionable, which can lower the passing game.

A hurt top target or lead back nudges the projection up a little, since their work tends to shift to teammates. QB and offensive-line flags are shown for context but do not change the number.

Games
0
2026 season
PPR PPG
–
Total pts
0.0

This is how QBs have played against the Texans in the 2026 season.

WkTeamPlayerCmpAttPaYdPaTDINTCarRuYdRuTDFPts
1BUFBUFJosh Allen202933420623235.7
2CINCINJoe Burrow2031207201-1016.2
3INDINDDaniel Jones2436235113507.9
4DALDALDak Prescott32453351027018.1
5TENTENCam Ward2336170011205.0
6JAXJAXTrevor Lawrence244130641311027.3
7NYGNYGJ.J. McCarthy20282520011010.2
Average23.335.1262.71.40.42.46.90.317.2
Median23.036.0252.01.00.02.05.00.016.2
High324533541623235.7
Low2028170001-105.0

Averages are raw, outliers are never removed.

QB1 avg pts
17.2
PPR per game
Rank
16
of 32 (1 = most allowed)
vs League
+4%
lg avg 16.5
Start / Sit · Joe MiltonLow confidence · 2.6 proj pts1/10 start
  • The Texans have allowed 17.2 points to QB1s over 7 games (+0% vs league). The model applies 70% of that gap because the sample is small, giving a +0% adjustment.
  • No games yet this season, so this uses last season's average (2.6).
  • Projection: 2.6 points.
  • For reference, a typical weekly starter-level QB scores about 19.1 and a top-tier one about 23.8.
  • Confidence is low: too few games for either the player or the defense. Use this as a rough lean, not a lock.
  • A statistical model from box scores, Vegas lines, weather and injury tags. It cannot see role changes or in-game events.
InsightsPlain-English takeaways from the table
  • QB1s have averaged 262.7 passing yards, 1.4 passing TDs and 6.9 rushing yards against the Texans across 7 games.
  • The Texans allow 17.2 PPR points to QB1s, +4% versus the league average of 16.5 (ranked 16 of 32, where 1 is most generous). That is a near-average matchup.
  • Outlier: Week 1, Josh Allen (35.7 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.2 vs 14.1. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • Outlier: Week 6, Trevor Lawrence (27.3 pts) sits far above the other games and pulls the averages up. Average with it vs without it: pts 17.2 vs 15.5. The table above keeps the raw averages.
  • 4 of 7 games reached 15+ PPR points. Scores range from 5.0 to 35.7 (median 16.2).
  • Every QB1 in the sample cleared 150 passing yards.
  • QB1s scored a touchdown in 5 of 7 games (71%).

Insights are generated by rules from the table above and recalculate every week.